PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
English

FreeMatch preview

Paksi — Ujpest

Football 21.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Favourite Paksi best odds 1.89

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
Get Full Access →
Hungary: NB I
Hungary: NB I
5 round 21.08.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
21.08.2026 15:30 UTC 5 round
Finished

Hungary: NB I

Paksi vs Ujpest — Football prediction

Football
Paksi
Paksi
2 : 0
Finished
Ujpest
Ujpest

Paksi face Ujpest on August 21, 2026 in the Hungary: NB I.

Recent form (W-D-L): Paksi 1-2-2, Ujpest 2-2-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance — Paksi or draw 1.01

Model confidence 79% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paksi - Ujpest August 21, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paksi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 10.50 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 4 books · best price +1.1%
1 48.9%
X 24.0%
2 27.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Paksi
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
10.50
Ujpest
27%
29.00
Total
Over 10.5
53%
1.74
Under 10.5
47%
1.95
Both teams to score
Yes
55%
3.30
No
45%
2.80

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Paksi 2 : 2 Ujpest
11.87
X3.80
23.32

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated19.08.2026 01:53 UTC
1 40% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 28%
Score2:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:BTTS-Yes
Per AI data Form:LDLDW / DWWL H2H: 10-10 Injuries:none Key:Paks defensive fatigue and Ujpest attacking form
Details

Pre-Match Analysis: Paks vs Ujpest (21.08.2026)
The upcoming Hungarian NB I clash features Paks hosting Ujpest at the Fehérvári úti Stadion. Both sides have displayed high-scoring tendencies early in the 2026–27 campaign. While the Glicko model favors the hosts at 56%, a detailed tactical and situational deep dive reveals a more evenly balanced contest.
Team Form & Recent Results
Paks (Home)
Paks has endured a hectic schedule due to their UEFA Conference League qualification commitments, which has visibly drained their domestic consistency. Defensively, they have looked vulnerable, conceding goals at an alarming rate.
16.08.2026: Puskas Academy 3–2 Paks (Loss)
09.08.2026: Paks 2–2 Honved (Draw)
03.08.2026: Zalaegerszeg 5–2 Paks (Loss)
30.07.2026: Panathinaikos 2–2 Paks (Draw - Conference League)
26.07.2026: Paks 4–2 Ferencvaros (Win)
Ujpest (Away)
Ujpest enters this match in significantly stronger domestic form, showing lethal clinical efficiency upfront. They have collected 7 points from their opening matches and possess a much fresher squad without European fatigue.
15.08.2026: Ujpest 1–1 MTK Budapest (Draw)
08.08.2026: Kisvarda 2–4 Ujpest (Win)
02.08.2026: Ujpest 4–2 Debrecen (Win)
24.07.2026: Nyiregyhaza 2–1 Ujpest (Loss)
Head-to-Head (H2H) History
The historic breakdown over 33 total matches shows absolute equality between these teams.
Total Wins: 10 Wins for Paks, 10 Wins for Ujpest, and 13 Draws.
Most Recent Meeting (07.03.2026): Ujpest 0–0 Paks.
Key Trend: 72% of their all-time encounters have seen both teams scoring, reflecting their open styles.
Personnel, Injuries, and Tactical Suspensions
Paks: No fresh injuries or suspensions are reported following their clash against Puskas Academy. József Windecker and József Szalai remain the main focal points of their attacking system.
Ujpest: Attila Fiola is fully available after serving past suspensions. Midfielder Matija Ljujic remains their primary creative outlet in the middle of the pitch.
Motivation Factor: Paks is desperate to snap a 3-game domestic winless run, while Ujpest aims to maintain their top-3 position in the table.
Probability and Market Forecast
Our adjusted prediction diverges from the initial baseline model. The Glicko baseline overstates the home advantage (P1 56%) and undervalues the draw. Paks has shown severe defensive regressions, leaking 10 goals in their last 3 league matches. Ujpest is undefeated in 3 games and is in top scoring form. Therefore, the probability of a draw and an away result is significantly higher than a 56% home win indicator suggests.
P1 (Home Win): 40%
X (Draw): 32%
P2 (Away Win): 28%
Additional Markets:
Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals (Highly recommended, given Paks' defensive struggles and Ujpest's high-scoring form).
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes.
Double Chance: 1X (Safest choice, as Paks rarely loses consecutive home fixtures).
Most Likely Exact Score: 2:2.
Conclusion (Main Bet)
The baseline model strongly favors Paks, but current form dictates a much tighter script. Paks is highly vulnerable at the back, while Ujpest has scored 9 goals in their last 3 matches. Expect a high-scoring, back-and-forth affair where both teams trade blows.
Main Bet: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) — Yes.

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 40% 32% 28% 2:2 Over 2.5 Yes BTTS-Yes

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →
Match center
Stadium Paksh
Start 21.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 71.8% @ 1.01 / X 6.9% @ 10.50 / 2 21.3% @ 3.40
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

My virtual bank & leaderboard →
Match center

Paksi - Ujpest

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Paksh - Uypesht, 21 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Vengrii po futbolu (OTP Bank Liga) 2027, 5-y Round. Paksh - Uypesht, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 48.6% fact: home hit / ROI 89.0% / Brier 0.396 / LogLoss 0.721
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 48.6% fact: home hit / ROI 89.0% / Brier 0.396 / LogLoss 0.721
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7%
yes 3.30 30.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 1.38 72.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.01 99.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
x2 10.00 10.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.30 43.5%
X 2.59 38.6%
3.57 28.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 1.5 1.72 58.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-2-2, avg 2.8 gls
2026-08-21 · Paksh 2:0 Uypesht
2026-03-07 · Paksh 0:0 Uypesht
2025-11-23 · Paksh 1:3 Uypesht
2025-08-10 · Paksh 2:1 Uypesht
2025-03-14 · Paksh 6:1 Uypesht
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.85 (Betcity) · X 4 (Pari) · 2 4.1 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.8 4 3.65
Winline 1.7 4 4.1
Fonbet 1.8 4 3.65
Betcity 1.85 3.9 3.5
Liga Stavok 1.7 4 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

4 Cards total 0
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
4 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Paksi
L D L D W
2026-08-16 NB I 26/27
Paksi Puskas Academy 3:2 Paksi
2026-08-09 NB I 26/27
Paksi Paksi 2:2 Budapest Honved
2026-08-03 NB I 26/27
Paksi Zalaegerszeg 5:2 Paksi
2026-07-30 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Paksi Panathinaikos 2:2 Paksi
2026-07-26 NB I 26/27
Paksi Paksi 4:2 Ferencvaros
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.8 Conceded
5 Points
Ujpest
D W W L D
2026-08-15 NB I 26/27
Ujpest 1:1 MTK Budapest Ujpest
2026-08-08 NB I 26/27
Kisvarda 2:4 Ujpest Ujpest
2026-08-02 NB I 26/27
Ujpest 4:2 Debreceni VSC Ujpest
2026-07-24 NB I 26/27
Nyiregyhaza 2:1 Ujpest Ujpest
2026-07-04 Club Friendly Games 2026
Hartberg 1:1 Ujpest Ujpest
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Paksi - Ujpest

Paksi
0 matches total
Ujpest
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Paksi
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Ujpest
Paksi Team comparison Ujpest
4 Games 4
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
10 Scored 10
12 Conceded 7
4 Points 7
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
16.75 Shots on goal 13.75
5.5 Shots on target 5.25
Paksh 16 round Goly Yozhef Vindekker Andor Lapu 1:0 21' Yozef Shalai Kristof Papp 2:0 36' Nakazaniya Yozhef Vindekker 7' Yanosh Khan 62' Yanosh Sabo 72' Mario Zeke 87'

Paksh Uypesht 4 Games 4 1 Wins 2 1 Draws 1 2 Losses 1 10 Scored 10 12 Conceded 7 4 Points 7 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 16.75 Shots on goal 13.75 5.5 Udary v stvor 5.25 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6.25 Uglovye 4.5 0.25 Offsaydy 1.75 12 Foly 14.25 52 % vladeniya myachom 49.5 1.75 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 05.12.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga Uypesht –:– Paksh 16 round Goly Yozhef Vindekker Andor Lapu 1:0 21' Yozef Shalai Kristof Papp 2:0 36' Nakazaniya Yozhef Vindekker 7' Yanosh Khan 62' Yanosh Sabo 72' Mario Zeke 87'

More predictions

Der– Ferencvaros 03.09 Chelsea – Brighton 30.08 Leeds – Brentford 30.08 Sunderland – Fulham 30.08 Paris FC – Nice 30.08 Rennes – Le Mans 30.08

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Paksi vs Ujpest?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Paksi. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Paksi vs Ujpest?

Live odds for Paksi vs Ujpest from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Paksi vs Ujpest start?

August 21, 2026.