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FC OSS — NAC Breda

Football 07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Favourite NAC Breda best odds 1.67

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Netherlands: First Division
Netherlands: First Division
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Netherlands: First Division

FC OSS - NAC Breda

Football
F
FC OSS
1 : 2
Finished
NAC Breda
NAC Breda

FC OSS face NAC Breda on August 7, 2026 in the Netherlands: First Division.

These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance NAC Breda or draw 1.16

Model confidence 80% ~80% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FC OSS (odds2.36) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Oss: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC OSS - NAC Breda August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: NAC Breda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.85 / X 4.40 / 2 1.67

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2% 5 books · best price +4.4%
1 20.4%
X 21.4%
2 58.1%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Eerste Divisie
League table
FC OSS
#90 ptsGP 10-0-11:2
NAC Breda
#33 ptsGP 11-0-02:1
Best price across 14 books
1 5.50 BetVictor
X 4.57 Pinnacle
2 1.70 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FC OSS
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.01 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.30 xGA 1.86 Corners 4.5
NAC Breda
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.31 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.71 xGA 1.26 Corners 3.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FC OSS
Rating 1431 xG 0.83 Win 17%
NAC Breda
Rating 1496 xG 1.81 Win 61%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
FC OSS
21%
4.85
Draw
22%
4.40
NAC Breda
57%
1.67
Handicap
FC OSS (0)
26%
3.60
NAC Breda (0)
74%
1.26
Total
Over 10.5
46%
2.00
Under 10.5
54%
1.68
Both teams to score
Yes
41%
5.30
No
59%
2.39

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

FC OSSNAC Breda
  • 6' Goal NAC Breda
  • 8' Goal FC OSS
  • 9' Goal FC OSS
  • 11' Goal FC OSS
  • 15' Goal FC OSS
  • 16' Goal FC OSS
  • 19' Goal FC OSS
  • 19' Goal FC OSS
  • 21' Goal FC OSS
  • 23' Goal FC OSS
  • 25' Yellow card NAC Breda
  • 30' Goal FC OSS
  • 32' Goal FC OSS
  • 34' Goal FC OSS
  • 41' Goal FC OSS
  • 42' Goal FC OSS
  • 45' Goal FC OSS
  • 50' Goal NAC Breda
  • 51' Goal FC OSS
  • 53' Yellow card FC OSS
  • 56' Goal FC OSS
  • 58' Goal NAC Breda
  • 59' Goal NAC Breda
  • 59' Goal FC OSS
  • 64' Goal NAC Breda
  • 69' Goal NAC Breda
  • 69' Goal NAC Breda
  • 76' Goal FC OSS
  • 88' Goal FC OSS
  • 89' Goal NAC Breda
  • 90' Goal NAC Breda
  • 90' Goal NAC Breda
  • 90' Goal NAC Breda
  • 90' Goal FC OSS

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

FC OSS 2 : 2 NAC Breda
14.79
X4.33
21.58

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 20.0% @ 4.85 / X 22.0% @ 4.40 / 2 58.0% @ 1.67
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Match center

FC OSS - NAC Breda

H2H 3 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 56.6% fact: away hit / ROI 67.0% / Brier 0.282 / LogLoss 0.569
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 56.6% fact: away hit / ROI 67.0% / Brier 0.282 / LogLoss 0.569
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus · line only
X 4.14 market consensus · line only
1 4.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.87 market consensus · line only
X2 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.26 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.36 market consensus · line only
Yes 4.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6% 2.39 41.8%
yes 5.30 18.9% 5.30 18.9% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
1x 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8%
x2 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.94 20.2%
X 2.51 39.8%
2.09 47.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: FC OSS - NAC Breda

FC OSS
3 matches total
NAC Breda
FC OSS: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (66.7%)
NAC Breda: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Breda 2:0 (2023-12-08) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 2025-07-05) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (2025-07-05) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 3

Match history

2025-07-05 Eerste Divisie 26/27
Breda 2:2 Oss
2024-05-10 Eerste Divisie 26/27
Oss 1:1 Breda
2023-12-08 Eerste Divisie 26/27
Breda 2:0 Oss

Frequently asked questions

When does FC OSS vs NAC Breda start?

August 7, 2026.