AI verdict

AI pick FC OSS win probability ~44% best odds 2.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to FC OSS. Full breakdown below.

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Netherlands: First Division
Netherlands: First Division
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Netherlands: First Division

FC OSS - Jong Utrecht

Football
F
FC OSS
- : -
Not started
J
Jong Utrecht

FC OSS take on Jong Utrecht on August 28, 2026 in the Netherlands: First Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC OSS 0-0-2, Jong Utrecht 0-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 FC OSS44%

1 · FC OSS44.4%
X · draw24.2%
2 · Jong Utrecht31.4%

Model estimate: win FC OSS 44.4%, draw 24.2%, win Jong Utrecht 31.4%. Model favourite — FC OSS.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC OSS - Jong Utrecht August 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: FC OSS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.85 / 2 3.21

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7% 3 books · best price +2.4%
1 44.9%
X 24.5%
2 30.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Eerste Divisie
League table
FC OSS
#190 ptsGP 30-0-31:6
Jong Utrecht
#200 ptsGP 30-0-33:11
Best price across 13 books
1 2.14 Dafabet
X 3.95 Pinnacle
2 3.15 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FC OSS
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.66 Conceded 1.64 xG 1.25 xGA 2.00 Corners 5.4
Jong Utrecht
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.27 Conceded 2.16 xG 1.39 xGA 1.79 Corners 3.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FC OSS
Rating 1335 xG 1.30 Win 37%
Jong Utrecht
Rating 1322 xG 1.29 Win 36%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
FC OSS
45%
2.10
Draw
24%
3.85
Jong Utrecht
30%
3.21
Handicap
FC OSS (0)
60%
1.58
Jong Utrecht (0)
40%
2.37
Total
Over 3.5
41%
2.30
Under 3.5
59%
1.58

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 45.5% @ 2.10 / X 24.8% @ 3.85 / 2 29.7% @ 3.21
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model FC OSS 44%
💹 Market FC OSS 45%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

FC OSS - Jong Utrecht

Form 2/2 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC OSS 44.9% 44.4% market and model agree
Draw 24.3% 24.2% draw risk
Jong Utrecht 30.9% 31.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.4% / 24.2% / 31.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,218 / 1,338 Oss / Jong Utrecht
RD 229 / 282 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 761-1,676 / 773-1,902 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.09 market consensus · no value · model 31.4%
X 3.82 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.07 market consensus · no value · model 44.4%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
1X 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 68.6%
X2 1.69 market consensus · no value · model 55.6%
Handicap
2 0 2.31 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.58 38.8%
yes 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6%
x2 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.53 39.5%
X 2.39 41.8%
3.74 26.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.22 45.1%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-3-1, avg 2.75 gls
2026-04-06 · TOP Oss 3:1 Utrekht (mol.)
2025-10-24 · TOP Oss 0:0 Utrekht (mol.)
2025-03-03 · TOP Oss 1:1 Utrekht (mol.)
2024-11-30 · TOP Oss 1:1 Utrekht (mol.)
2024-02-26 · TOP Oss 3:0 Utrekht (mol.)
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.09 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.8 (Pari) · 2 3 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2 3.8 2.9
Winline 2.08 3.6 3
Fonbet 2 3.8 2.9
Betcity 2.05 3.8 3
Liga Stavok 2.09 3.6 3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
FC OSS
L L
25.08 18:00 UTC Netherlands: First Division Standings
FC OSS 0:1 Yong PSVYong PSV
07.08 18:00 UTC Netherlands: First Division Standings
FC OSS 1:2 BredaBreda
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
0 Points
Jong Utrecht
L L
25.08 18:00 UTC Netherlands: First Division Standings
Jong Utrecht 1:6 KheraklesKherakles
17.08 18:00 UTC Netherlands: First Division Standings
Jong Utrecht 1:3 VitessVitess
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.5 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: FC OSS - Jong Utrecht

FC OSS
0 matches total
Jong Utrecht
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht start?

August 28, 2026.