AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Empoli. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Serie A
Monza - Empoli
Monza meet Empoli on May 18, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Monza 1-0-4, Empoli 1-1-3. The market favourite is Empoli at roughly 55%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monza - Empoli May 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Empoli.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.32 / X 3.63 / 2 1.75
- 1X2 market: Monza 18.2% / X 26.6% / Empoli 55.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Monza - Empoli
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 5.32 18.8% | |
| X | 3.63 27.6% |
| 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.19 84.0% |
| home_away | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 2.17 46.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.19 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.93 25.5% | |
| 1.28 78.1% |
Monza
Udineze
Atalanta
Yuventus
Napoli
Venetsiya
Empoli
Parma Kalcho
Latsio
Fiorentina
Venetsiya
Napoli
Full head-to-head history: Monza - Empoli
Match history
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The Monza - Empoli breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Monza vs Empoli start?
May 18, 2025.