AI verdict

AI pick Empoli win probability ~55% confidence Medium best odds 1.75

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Empoli. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Monza - Empoli

Italy Football
Monza
Monza
1 : 3
Finished
Empoli
Empoli

Monza meet Empoli on May 18, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monza 1-0-4, Empoli 1-1-3. The market favourite is Empoli at roughly 55%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Empoli May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Empoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Empoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.32 / X 3.63 / 2 1.75
  • 1X2 market: Monza 18.2% / X 26.6% / Empoli 55.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 18.2%
X 26.6%
2 55.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 43.6%
Under 2.5 56.4%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 18.2% @ 5.32 / X 26.6% @ 3.63 / 2 55.2% @ 1.75
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Match center

Monza - Empoli

Form 5/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.63 market consensus · line only
1 5.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 2.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.32 18.8%
X 3.63 27.6%
1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 2.17 46.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.19 45.7%
Under 2.5 1.69 59.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.93 25.5%
1.28 78.1%
Match center
Monza
W L L L L
11.05 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Monza 2:1 UdinezeUdineze
04.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:4 AtalantaAtalanta
27.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:2 YuventusYuventus
19.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:1 NapoliNapoli
12.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:1 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Empoli
W L L D L
10.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 2:1 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
04.05 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:1 LatsioLatsio
27.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
20.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 2:2 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
14.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:3 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Monza - Empoli

Monza
0 matches total
Empoli
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Monza vs Empoli start?

May 18, 2025.