AI verdict

AI pick AC Milan win probability ~36% confidence Low best odds 2.66

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to AC Milan. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan vs Atalanta — Football prediction

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
0 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

AC Milan meet Atalanta on April 20, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): AC Milan 1-1-1, Atalanta 4-0-1. The market favourite is AC Milan at roughly 36%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Atalanta April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.55 / 2 2.66
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 36.4% / X 27.3% / Atalanta 36.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 36.4%
X 27.3%
2 36.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 36.4% @ 2.66 / X 27.3% @ 3.55 / 2 36.4% @ 2.66
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Match center

AC Milan - Atalanta

Form 3/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.66 37.6%
X 3.55 28.2%
2.66 37.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.52 65.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
1.92 52.1%
Match center
AC Milan
W D L
11.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 4:0 UdinezeUdineze
05.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
29.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 0:2 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Atalanta
W L W W W
13.04 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 BolonyaBolonya
06.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:1 LatsioLatsio
30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 MontsaMontsa
26.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 6:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
20.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: AC Milan - Atalanta

AC Milan
0 matches total
Atalanta
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for AC Milan vs Atalanta?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to AC Milan. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for AC Milan vs Atalanta?

Live odds for AC Milan vs Atalanta from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does AC Milan vs Atalanta start?

April 20, 2025.