AI verdict

AI pick AS Roma win probability ~44% best odds 2.20

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to AS Roma. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
Get Full Access →
Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma vs AC Milan — Football prediction

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
3 : 1
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

AS Roma go head-to-head with AC Milan on May 18, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): AS Roma 3-1-1, AC Milan 4-0-1. The bookmaker line makes AS Roma the favourite at about 44%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - AC Milan May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.61 / 2 3.37
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 44.2% / X 26.9% / AC Milan 28.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 44.2%
X 26.9%
2 28.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 53.7%
Under 2.5 46.3%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →
Match center
Start 18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 44.2% @ 2.20 / X 26.9% @ 3.61 / 2 28.9% @ 3.37
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

AS Roma - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 2.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5%
X 3.61 27.7%
3.37 29.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 2.5 2.09 47.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.60 62.5%
2.45 40.8%
Match center
AS Roma
L W W W D
12.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
04.05 16:00 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:0 InterInter
19.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
13.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:1 LatsioLatsio
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
AC Milan
W W W L W
09.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 3:1 BolonyaBolonya
05.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 2:1 DzhenoaDzhenoa
27.04 10:30 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 2:0 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
20.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
11.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AC Milan 4:0 UdinezeUdineze
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: AS Roma - AC Milan

AS Roma
0 matches total
AC Milan
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for AS Roma vs AC Milan?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to AS Roma. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for AS Roma vs AC Milan?

Live odds for AS Roma vs AC Milan from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does AS Roma vs AC Milan start?

May 18, 2025.