AI verdict

AI pick AS Roma win probability ~39% confidence Low best odds 2.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to AS Roma. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio vs AS Roma — Football prediction

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
1 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Lazio go head-to-head with AS Roma on April 13, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lazio 4-0-1, AS Roma 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards AS Roma, an implied 39% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - AS Roma April 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.21 / X 3.17 / 2 2.50
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 30.3% / X 30.7% / AS Roma 39.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 30.3%
X 30.7%
2 39.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 30.3% @ 3.21 / X 30.7% @ 3.17 / 2 38.9% @ 2.50
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Match center

Lazio - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 3.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.21 31.2%
X 3.17 31.6%
2.50 40.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.39 71.9%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.59 62.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.21 45.3%
1.72 58.1%
Match center
Lazio
W W W L W
06.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 5:1 KomoKomo
27.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 3:0 DzhenoaDzhenoa
19.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 0:1 YuventusYuventus
06.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 2:1 Empoli
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
AS Roma
D W L L D
06.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:1 YuventusYuventus
31.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:0 TorinoTorino
27.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:5 FiorentinaFiorentina
20.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 0:1 InterInter
06.10 16:00 UTC Seriya A
AS Roma 1:1 MontsaMontsa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lazio - AS Roma

Lazio
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Lazio vs AS Roma?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to AS Roma. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Lazio vs AS Roma?

Live odds for Lazio vs AS Roma from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Lazio vs AS Roma start?

April 13, 2025.