AI verdict

AI pick Atalanta win probability ~79% confidence High best odds 1.22

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Monza - Atalanta

Italy Football
Monza
Monza
0 : 4
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Monza take on Atalanta on May 4, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monza 0-0-5, Atalanta 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Atalanta at roughly 79%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Atalanta May 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 13.00 / X 6.92 / 2 1.22
  • 1X2 market: Monza 7.4% / X 13.9% / Atalanta 78.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 7.4%
X 13.9%
2 78.7%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 7.4% @ 13.00 / X 13.9% @ 6.92 / 2 78.7% @ 1.22
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Match center

Monza - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 market consensus · line only
X 6.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 4.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
13.00 7.7%
X 6.92 14.5%
1.22 82.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 4.63 21.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
10.86 9.2%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Monza
L L L L L
27.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:2 YuventusYuventus
19.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:1 NapoliNapoli
12.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:1 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
05.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 1:3 KomoKomo
30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
0 Points
Atalanta
D W W L W
27.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 LechcheLechche
20.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:0 MilanMilan
13.04 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 BolonyaBolonya
06.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:1 LatsioLatsio
30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 MontsaMontsa
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Monza - Atalanta

Monza
1 matches total
Atalanta
Monza: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atalanta: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atalanta 0:2 (30.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 30.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Montsa
0:2
Atalanta

Frequently asked questions

When does Monza vs Atalanta start?

May 4, 2025.