AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Serie A
Monza - Atalanta
Monza take on Atalanta on May 4, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Monza 0-0-5, Atalanta 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Atalanta at roughly 79%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monza - Atalanta May 4, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 13.00 / X 6.92 / 2 1.22
- 1X2 market: Monza 7.4% / X 13.9% / Atalanta 78.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Monza - Atalanta
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 13.00 7.7% | |
| X | 6.92 14.5% |
| 1.22 82.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.05 95.2% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_draw | 4.63 21.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 10.86 9.2% | |
| 1.06 94.3% |
Monza
Yuventus
Napoli
Venetsiya
Komo
Atalanta
Atalanta
Lechche
Milan
Bolonya
Latsio
Montsa
Full head-to-head history: Monza - Atalanta
Overall statistics
Match history
Atalanta
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The Monza - Atalanta breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Monza vs Atalanta start?
May 4, 2025.