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AI verdict

AI pick Napoli win probability ~75% confidence High best odds 1.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Napoli. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.04.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
19.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Monza vs Napoli — Football prediction

Italy Football
Monza
Monza
0 : 1
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Monza go head-to-head with Napoli on April 19, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monza 1-0-3, Napoli 3-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 75% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Napoli April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 11.72 / X 5.72 / 2 1.30
  • 1X2 market: Monza 8.3% / X 17.0% / Napoli 74.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 8.3%
X 17.0%
2 74.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 56.6%
Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Market 1 8.3% @ 11.72 / X 17.0% @ 5.72 / 2 74.7% @ 1.30
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Match center

Monza - Napoli

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 market consensus · line only
X 5.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 3.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
11.72 8.5%
X 5.72 17.5%
1.30 76.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.07 93.5%
home_away 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 3.92 25.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.71 58.5%
Under 2.5 2.23 44.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
9.76 10.3%
1.08 92.6%
Match center
Monza
L L L W
12.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:1 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
05.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 1:3 KomoKomo
30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
21.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Monza 3:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Napoli
W D W W
14.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 3:0 Empoli
07.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 1:1 BolonyaBolonya
29.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 2:0 MilanMilan
26.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 1:0 LechcheLechche
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.3 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Monza - Napoli

Monza
1 matches total
Napoli
Monza: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Napoli: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Napoli 0:2 (29.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 29.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Montsa
0:2
Napoli

More predictions

Inter – Napoli 05.09 Parma – Monza 06.09 Lecce – Monza 13.09 Napoli – Bologna 13.09 Lecce – AS Roma 31.08 Atalanta – Bologna 31.08

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Monza vs Napoli?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Napoli. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Monza vs Napoli?

Live odds for Monza vs Napoli from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Monza vs Napoli start?

April 19, 2025.