Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Betis?

By the PropickAI model, Betis is favoured — about 37% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Valencia vs Betis?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Betis. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Betis win probability ~37% confidence Low best odds 1.03

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Betis. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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Spain: Primera

1st round

25.08.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

25.08.2026 19:00 UTC 1st round

Finished

Spain: Primera

Valencia - Betis

Football

Stadium Mestalla

Referee Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Capacity 55 000

Valencia

0 : 0

Finished

Betis

Valencia take on Betis on August 25, 2026 in the Spain: Primera.

Recent form (W-D-L): Valencia 1-2-2, Betis 3-1-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 34% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Betis — 37%

1 · Valencia33.8%

X · draw29.2%

2 · Betis37.0%

Model estimate: win Valencia 33.8%, draw 29.2%, win Betis 37.0%. Model favourite — Betis.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Betis August 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Betis.

Line favourite Fonbet: Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.87 / X 6.60 / 2 1.03
Glicko: Valencia 33.8% / X 29.2% / Betis 37.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6% 3 books · best price +5.9%

1 33.2%

X 29.6%

2 37.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 2.70 → 2.70

1X2 X 3.30 → 3.30

1X2 2 2.70 ↑ 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

La Liga

League table

Valencia

#131 ptsGP 20-1-10:1

Betis

#26 ptsGP 22-0-02:0

Best price across 14 books

1 2.92 10Bet

X 3.35 Dafabet

2 2.80 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Valencia

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.36 Conceded 1.26 xG 1.31 xGA 1.28 Corners 4.3

Betis

W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.58 Conceded 1.07 xG 1.50 xGA 1.44 Corners 4.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences

G. Lo Celso — Muscle Injury Sergi Canós — Knee Injury J. De Haas — Ankle Injury Luis Rioja — Muscle Injury Aitor Ruibal — Knee Injury D. Foulquier — Knee Injury Diego Conde — Shoulder Injury Diego López — Knee Injury A. Ezzalzouli — Knee Injury Copete — Ankle Injury Alberto Marí — Leg Injury G. Petit — Muscle Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)

Valencia

Rating 1521 xG 1.05 Win 31%

Betis

Rating 1602 xG 1.24 Win 40%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Valencia

34%

94.00

Draw

30%

6.60

Betis

36%

2.70

Handicap

Valencia (0)

50%

2.10

Betis (0)

50%

1.80

Total

Over 24.5

52%

1.74

Under 24.5

48%

1.87

Both teams to score

Yes

40%

5.40

60%

1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

ValenciaBetis

2' Goal Betis
3' Goal Betis
12' Goal Betis
12' Goal Betis
20' Goal Valencia
21' Goal Betis
26' Yellow card Valencia
32' Goal Valencia
41' Goal Valencia
42' Yellow card Betis
45' Goal Betis
45' Goal Valencia
45' Goal Valencia
52' Goal Valencia
55' Substitution Valencia
55' Substitution Valencia
55' Substitution Valencia
55' Goal Betis
59' Substitution Betis
59' Substitution Betis
61' Goal Valencia
69' Goal Valencia
70' Goal Valencia
71' Goal Betis
71' Substitution Betis
71' Substitution Betis
72' Goal Valencia
74' Goal Betis
77' Goal Valencia
79' Substitution Betis
82' Goal Valencia
83' Goal Betis
83' Goal Betis
85' Goal Betis
87' Red card Betis
88' Substitution Valencia
88' Substitution Valencia
89' Goal Betis
89' Yellow card Valencia
90' Goal Betis

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Valencia 1 : 1 Betis

12.90

X3.29

22.72

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions

859 predictions Choose an outcome

1 15% 136

X 53% 455

2 31% 268

Match center

Stadium Mestalla

Referee Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Start 25.08.2026 19:00 UTC

Market 1 23.7% @ 2.87 / X 10.3% @ 6.60 / 2 66.0% @ 1.03

Weather +27°C solnechno

Broadcasts Match TV, MATCh! Football 2, Belarus 5

Capacity 55,000

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Draw 53%

📐 Math model Betis 37%

💹 Market Betis 37%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Valencia - Betis

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Valensiya - Betis, 25 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2026-2027, 1-y Round. Valensiya - Betis, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Lineups 11/11 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 8 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.753 / LogLoss 1.231

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.753 / LogLoss 1.231

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Valencia 33.7% 33.8%

Draw 29.6% 29.2% draw risk

Betis 36.7% 37.0% market and model agree

xG - 1.04 : 1.27

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 33.8% / 29.2% / 37.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,500 / 1,655 Valencia / Betis

RD 350 / 210 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,235-2,075 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 37.0%

X 6.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.86 market consensus · no value · model 33.8%

Double chance

12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 70.8%

1X 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +467.3% · model 63.0%

X2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 66.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.15 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	1.10 90.9%	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.89 52.9%
yes	5.40 18.5%	4.80 20.8%	4.80 20.8%	1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.08 92.6%	1.63 61.4%	1.63 61.4%
1x	9.00 11.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%
x2	1.12 89.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.52 28.4%
X	2.03 49.3%
	3.31 30.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	2.06 48.5%
Under 1	1.68 59.5%

Match center

5-3-2 4-2-3-1

1 Stole Dimitrievski 4 Muktar Diakabi 5 Sesar Tarrega 18 Pepelu 21 Khesus Alkalde 24 Pablo Maffeo 2 Gido Rodriges 8 Khavi Gerra 39 Ryunosuke Sato 7 Arno Greneveld 9 Ugo Duro 1 Alvaro Vales 3 Diego Lorente 12 Ankhel Ortis 16 Valentin Gomes 23 Khunior Firpo 6 Fakundo Bernal 7 Antoni 8 Pablo Fornals 17 Rodrigo Rikelme Reche 18 Nelson Deossa 9 Khuan Kamilo Ernandes

Valencia

Formation 5-3-2

Probable starting lineup

1 SD Stole Dimitrievski

Stole Dimitrievski

4 MD Muktar Diakabi

Muktar Diakabi

5 ST Sesar Tarrega

Sesar Tarrega

18 P Pepelu

Pepelu

21 KA Khesus Alkalde

Khesus Alkalde

24 PM Pablo Maffeo

Pablo Maffeo

2 GR Gido Rodriges

Gido Rodriges

8 KG Khavi Gerra

Khavi Gerra

39 RS Ryunosuke Sato

Ryunosuke Sato

7 AG Arno Greneveld

Arno Greneveld

9 UD Ugo Duro

Ugo Duro

Head coach Karlos Korberan

Betis

Formation 4-2-3-1

Probable starting lineup

1 AV Alvaro Vales

Alvaro Vales

3 DL Diego Lorente

Diego Lorente

12 AO Ankhel Ortis

Ankhel Ortis

16 VG Valentin Gomes

Valentin Gomes

23 KF Khunior Firpo

Khunior Firpo

6 FB Fakundo Bernal

Fakundo Bernal

7 A Antoni

Antoni

8 PF Pablo Fornals

Pablo Fornals

17 RR Rodrigo Rikelme Reche

Rodrigo Rikelme Reche

18 ND Nelson Deossa

Nelson Deossa

9 KK Khuan Kamilo Ernandes

Khuan Kamilo Ernandes

Head coach Manuel Pellegrini

Valencia

DL Diego Lopes pz

KhK Khose Kopete zsch

Yu Yustin zsch

Betis

DL Dzhovani Lo Chelso pz

AE Abde Ezzalzuli np

AR Aytor Ruibal np

16 pz Diego Lopes 3 zsch Khose Kopete zsch Dimitri Fulke np Alberto Mari 12 zsch Yustin de Khas vr Diego Konde 20 pz Dzhovani Lo Chelso 10 np Abde Ezzalzuli 24 np Aytor Ruibal

Formations 5-3-2 / 4-2-3-1

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H

Match center

10 Matches 10

14 Goals 17

1.4 Per match 1.7

4 Wins 7

2 Draws 1

4 Losses 2

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-3-4, avg 2.78 gls

2026-08-25 · Valensiya 0:1 Real Betis

2026-02-01 · Valensiya 1:2 Real Betis

2025-11-09 · Valensiya 1:1 Real Betis

2025-05-23 · Valensiya 1:1 Real Betis

2024-11-23 · Valensiya 4:2 Real Betis

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.7 (Pari) · X 3.3 (Liga Stavok) · 2 2.7 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.7	3.25	2.7
Winline	2.65	3.2	2.65
Fonbet	2.7	3.25	2.7
Betcity	2.7	3.2	2.7
Liga Stavok	2.6	3.3	2.7

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

40% Ball possession 60%

11 Vsego udarov 15

3 Shots on target 5

5 Shots off target 6

8 Udary ot vorot 9

3 Blokirovannye udary 4

10 Shtrafnye 10

8 Corners 2

1 Offsides 1

21 Auty 20

4 Saves 3

10 Fouls 11

2 Cards total 1

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

0 Travmy 1

5 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Valencia

D L L D W

2026-08-22 LaLiga 26/27

Valencia Valencia 0:0 Celta

2026-08-12 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Valencia 0:1 Teruel

2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Valencia 1:2 Newcastle

2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Stoke City 1:1 Valencia

2026-07-28 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Derby County 1:2 Valencia

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

5 Points

Betis

W L D W W

2026-08-21 LaLiga 26/27

Betis 1:0 Real Sociedad Betis

2026-08-15 Club Friendly Games 2026

Inter Milan 1:0 Betis Betis

2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026

Betis 2:2 Bournemouth Betis

2026-08-05 Club Friendly Games 2026

Arsenal 1:3 Betis Betis

2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026

Betis 1:0 Almeria Betis

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Valencia - Betis

Valencia

8 matches total

Betis

Valencia: 4 (50%)

Draws:3 (37.5%)

Betis: 1 (12.5%)

Biggest win Valencia 3:0 (01.10.23, 14:00) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (4:2, 23.11.24, 06:00) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (09.11.25, 10:30) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

16 Goals scored 8

8 Goals conceded 16

Match history

Event

Valencia

2:1

Betis

Event

Valencia

1:1

Betis

Event

Valencia

1:1

Betis

Event

Valencia

4:2

Betis

Event

Valencia

1:2

Betis

Event

Valencia

3:0

Betis

Event

Valencia

1:1

Betis

Event

Valencia

3:0

Betis

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Valencia

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Betis

1 Games 1

0 Wins 1

1 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 1

0 Conceded 0

1 Points 3

87 Attacks 107

24 Dangerous attacks 44

0 Big chances 0

9 Shots on goal 18

2 Udary v stvor 7

Matches in history 147

Biggest draw 3:3

Highest-scoring match 8:3

Primera 118 / 55 / 26 / 37 / 196 / 144

Cup Spain 19 / 11 / 5 / 3 / 40 / 22

Cup La Ligi 4 / 1 / 0 / 3 / 3 / 8

Segunda 6 / 4 / 1 / 1 / 15 / 8

Valensiya Betis 1 Games 1 0 Wins 1 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 1 0 Conceded 0 1 Points 3 87 Attacks 107 24 Dangerous attacks 44 0 Big chances 0 9 Shots on goal 18 2 Udary v stvor 7 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 1 Uglovye 4 3 Offsaydy 1 17 Foly 9 44 % vladeniya myachom 48 2 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 02.05.2027 Spain — La Liga Betis –:– Valensiya 34 round Goly Pablo Garsiya Fransisko Garsiya 0:1 83' Nakazaniya Ryunosuke Sato 26' Khunior Firpo 42' Muktar Dyakabi 89'

1	Aubameyang, Pierre-Emerick	DEP	2
2	Diaz, Mariano	ALA	2
3	Raphinha	BAR	2
4	Fernandez, Roberto	ESP	2
5	Lopez, Fermin	BAR	2

1	Hernandez, Javier	ESP	2
2	Diaz, Mariano	ALA	2
3	Gordon, Anthony	BAR	2
4	Alvarez, Yeray	ATH	1
5	Raphinha	BAR	1

1	Salas, Kike	SEV	1
2	Le Normand, Robin	ATM	1
3	Femenia, Kiko	GET	1
4	Berchiche, Yuri	ATH	1
5	Calatrava, Alex	ESP	2

Valencia - Betis

AI match prediction Valencia - Betis August 25, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Match timeline

Score prediction

Unlock the full AI analysis

Valencia - Betis

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Overall statistics

Match history

Recent form

Standings

League leaders LaLiga 26/27

Team form & streaks

Standings around this match LaLiga

Match facts

Frequently asked questions

#		P	W	D	L	+/-	Pts
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	3	6
2	Real Betis	2	2	0	0	2	6
3	Alaves	2	1	1	0	3	4
4	Atletico	2	1	1	0	2	4
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5	3
6	Espanyol	2	1	0	1	2	3
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	1	3
8	Getafe	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	0	2
10	Deportivo	2	0	2	0	0	2
11	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	0	1
11	Celta Vigo	1	0	1	0	0	1
13	Santander	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Valencia - Betis

AI match prediction Valencia - Betis August 25, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Match timeline

Score prediction

Unlock the full AI analysis

Valencia - Betis

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Overall statistics

Match history

Recent form

Standings

League leaders LaLiga 26/27

Team form & streaks

Standings around this match LaLiga

Match facts

More predictions

Frequently asked questions