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Kairat Almaty — Levski Sofia

Football 11.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Favourite Levski Sofia best odds 2.75

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Poland. Superleague
Poland. Superleague
3 qualifying round. 2 match 11.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H –Prediction
11.08.2026 15:00 UTC 3 qualifying round. 2 match
Finished

Poland. Superleague

Kairat Almaty - Levski Sofia

Football
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
0 : 1
Finished
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty take on Levski Sofia on August 11, 2026 in the Poland. Superleague.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kairat Almaty 4-0-1, Levski Sofia 2-3-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kairat Almaty (odds2.37) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Kayrat Almaty 🇰🇿: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kairat Almaty - Levski Sofia August 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Levski Sofia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.85 / X 3.20 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6% 5 books
1 34.1%
X 30.4%
2 35.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League
League table
Kairat Almaty
#79 ptsGP 63-0-35:4
Levski Sofia
#214 ptsGP 64-2-010:3
Best price across 14 books
1 2.96 1xBet
X 3.20 Betano
2 2.80 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kairat Almaty
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 1.08 Conceded 1.43 xG 1.13 xGA 1.89 Corners 1.0
Levski Sofia
W-D-L 3-2-0 Scored 1.80 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.44 xGA 0.91 Corners 7.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kairat Almaty
Rating 1568
Levski Sofia
Rating 1675

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Kairat Almaty
34%
2.85
Draw
31%
3.20
Levski Sofia
35%
2.75
Handicap
Kairat Almaty (0)
49%
1.95
Levski Sofia (0)
51%
1.91
Total
Over 8.5
52%
1.78
Under 8.5
48%
1.94
Both teams to score
Yes
31%
5.50
No
69%
1.74

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Kairat AlmatyLevski Sofia
  • 7' Yellow card Levski Sofia
  • 7' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 12' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 13' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 13' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 22' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 31' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 32' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 37' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 41' Goal Kairat Almaty
  • 45' Goal Kairat Almaty
  • 45' Goal Kairat Almaty
  • 45' Yellow card Kairat Almaty
  • 46' Substitution Kairat Almaty
  • 46' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 51' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 52' Goal Kairat Almaty
  • 52' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 55' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 56' Goal Kairat Almaty
  • 58' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 60' Yellow card Kairat Almaty
  • 64' Substitution Kairat Almaty
  • 65' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 67' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 73' Yellow card Levski Sofia
  • 76' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 79' Substitution Levski Sofia
  • 79' Substitution Levski Sofia
  • 79' Substitution Levski Sofia
  • 82' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 83' Substitution Levski Sofia
  • 84' Substitution Kairat Almaty
  • 86' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 87' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 88' Yellow card Levski Sofia
  • 89' Yellow card Levski Sofia
  • 90' Substitution Levski Sofia
  • 90' Goal Levski Sofia
  • 90' Yellow card Kairat Almaty

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kairat Almaty 1 : 1 Levski Sofia
13.29
X3.07
22.52

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1
FK Vardar Skopje2
Kuopion Palloseura5
Ararat-Armenia5
Riga FC2
Maxline Vitebsk2
Uni Craiova4
Kauno3
Drita4
Banja Luka5
Levski Sofia1
Petrocub Hincesti7
Egnatia Rrogozhine2
Kairat2
Sutjeska Niksic3
Vikingur Reykjavik3
ETO Gyor2
Sabah Masazir3
New Saints2
Klaksvik3
Bissen3
Floriana7
Shamrock1
Tallinna4
Iberia5
Tre Fiori2
Larne2
Lincoln Red Imps4
IC Escaldes2
Qualification round 2
Kairat8
Omonia Nicosia5
Iberia1
Slovan Bratislava3
Uni Craiova3
Levski Sofia2
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Be`er Sheva1
Shamrock4
Ararat-Armenia1
Lincoln Red Imps3
Mjallby0
Thun4
Dinamo Zagreb3
Lech Poznan5
Aarhus12
Heart of Midlothian4
Sturm Graz2
Kauno1
Klaksvik0
Gornik Zabrze2
Fenerbahce1
Sabah Masazir1
Kuopion Palloseura2
Crvena Zvezda5
Larne4
NK Celje9
Egnatia Rrogozhine6
Qualification round 3
Union Gilloise6
Bodoe/Glimt5
Sparta Prague5
Lyon1
Olympiacos2
Nijmegen1
Dinamo Zagreb6
Kauno2
Aarhus6
Sabah Masazir1
Mjallby3
Slovan Bratislava2
Sturm Graz2
Fenerbahce1
Ararat-Armenia4
NK Celje1
Levski Sofia1
Kairat1
Be`er Sheva1
Crvena Zvezda2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated10.08.2026 08:50 UTC
1 28%
X 36% ✓ favourite
2 36%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 0-0-1
Claude updated10.08.2026 08:52 UTC
1 35% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 35%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5 (Total Under 2,5 gola)
Per AI data H2H: 0-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 28% 36% 36% 0:0 Under 2.5 No X2
Claude 35% 30% 35% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5 (Total Under 2,5 gola)

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 34.2% @ 2.85 / X 30.4% @ 3.20 / 2 35.4% @ 2.75
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Match center

Kairat Almaty - Levski Sofia

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Kayrat - Levski, 11 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 3rd Qualifying round. second leg. Kayrat - Levski, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 35.9% fact: away hit / ROI 175.0% / Brier 0.617 / LogLoss 1.024
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 35.9% fact: away hit / ROI 175.0% / Brier 0.617 / LogLoss 1.024
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.69 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 4.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8%
yes 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
1x 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.43 69.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.66 27.3%
X 1.95 51.3%
3.39 29.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.38 42.0%
Under 1 1.54 64.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2, avg 1.0 gls
2026-08-11 · Kayrat 0:1 Levski Sofiya
2026-08-04 · Kayrat 0:1 Levski Sofiya
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.5 (Pari) · X 3.45 (Liga Stavok) · 2 3.45 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.5 3.25 2.8
Winline 2.07 3.35 3.35
Fonbet 2.5 3.25 2.8
Betcity 2.5 3.3 2.75
Liga Stavok 2.03 3.45 3.45
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

3 Cards total 4
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
3 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Kairat Almaty
W W
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27
Kairat Almaty Kairat 7:5 Omonia Nicosia
2026-07-08 UEFA Champions League 26/27
Kairat Almaty Kairat 2:1 Sutjeska Niksic
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
6 Points
Levski Sofia
D D
2026-07-29 UEFA Champions League 26/27
Uni Craiova 2:2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
2026-07-07 UEFA Champions League 26/27
Banja Luka 1:1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Kairat Almaty - Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty
1 matches total
Levski Sofia
Kairat Almaty: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Levski Sofia: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Levski 🇧🇴 0:1 (03.08 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 03.08 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.08 17:30 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Kayrat Almaty 🇰🇿
0:1
Levski 🇧🇴
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Kairat Almaty
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Levski Sofia
Kairat Almaty Team comparison Levski Sofia
5 Games 5
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
5 Scored 9
3 Conceded 3
9 Points 11
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
13 Shots on goal 12.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.8
Warnings 1.8 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Reynaldo 0:1 13' Nakazaniya Everton Bala 7' Olzhas Baybek 45+6' Damir Kasabulat 60' Aldair 73' Nikola Serafimov 88' Khuan Perea 89' Gushtavu Mendonsa 90+4'

Kayrat Levski 5 Games 5 3 Wins 3 0 Draws 2 Losses 0 5 Scored 9 3 Conceded 3 9 Points 11 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13 Shots on goal 12.2 4.8 Udary v stvor 3.8 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6.2 Uglovye 5.6 1.6 Offsaydy 1.6 10.8 Foly 13.4 55.4 % vladeniya myachom 55.4 1.6 Warnings 1.8 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Reynaldo 0:1 13' Nakazaniya Everton Bala 7' Olzhas Baybek 45+6' Damir Kasabulat 60' Aldair 73' Nikola Serafimov 88' Khuan Perea 89' Gushtavu Mendonsa 90+4'

Detailed match statistics Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia

56Ball possession44
13Goal attempts7
6Shots on target2
7Shots off target5
5Shots blocked1
0Saves6
9Corner kicks4
13Free kicks11
3Offsides1
10Fouls13
5Goal kicks12
17Throw-ins12
3Yellow cards4
0Yellow/red cards0
0Red cards0
3Substitutions5
0Injuries0
69Ball Safe75
36Ball Safe73
92Attack59
39Attack15
57Dangerous Attack22
25Dangerous Attack12
0Penalties0

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

More predictions

Levski Sofia – AEK Athens 18.08 Kairat – Anderlecht 20.08 Dinamo Zagreb – Viking 18.08 Fenerbahce – Lyon 18.08 NEC Nijmegen – Bodoe/Glimt 19.08 Celtic – LASK 19.08

Frequently asked questions

When does Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia start?

August 11, 2026.