What does PropickAI predict for Spain vs Belgium?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Spain. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Spain vs Belgium?

Live odds for Spain vs Belgium from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Spain win probability ~59% confidence Medium best odds 1.63

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Spain. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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World: Championship World - Play-off

Quarterfinal

10.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

10.07.2026 17:00 UTC Quarterfinal

Finished

World: Championship World - Play-off

Spain vs Belgium — Football prediction

Football

Spain

2 : 1

Finished

Belgium

Spain meet Belgium on July 10, 2026 in the World: Championship World - Play-off.

Recent form (W-D-L): Spain 2-0-0, Belgium 2-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Spain, an implied 59% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance — Spain or draw 1.06

Model confidence 83% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spain - Belgium July 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spain.

Line favourite market consensus: Spain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.97 / 2 5.55
1X2 market: Spain 58.7% / X 24.1% / Belgium 17.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 16 books · best price +5.9%

1 58.8%

X 24.1%

2 17.1%

Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

Spain

#17 ptsGP 32-1-05:0

WWWWW

Belgium

#15 ptsGP 31-2-06:2

LWWWD

Best price across 14 books

1 1.70 Betano

X 4.18 1xBet

2 6.20 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Spain

W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.82 Conceded 0.08 xG 2.38 xGA 0.67 Corners 7.7

Belgium

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 2.23 Conceded 0.96 xG 1.97 xGA 0.99 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Spain

Rating 1754 xG 1.93 Win 56%

Belgium

Rating 1662 xG 1.14 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Spain 0 : 0 Belgium

11.64

X4.18

26.14

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Stadium Sou-Fay (Inglvud, USA), 70 492 zritelya (100% pri vmestimosti 70 240)

Referee Maykl Oliver (Ashington)

Start 10.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Market 1 58.7% @ 1.63 / X 24.1% @ 3.97 / 2 17.2% @ 5.55

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Match center

Spain - Belgium

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Spain - Belgium, 10 iyulya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. World Cup po futbolu 2026, 1/4 finala. Spain - Belgium, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 2/2 recent games

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.60 market consensus · line only

X 3.98 market consensus · line only

1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.03 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

X2 2.30 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.85 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.72 58.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%
X	3.85 26.0%	4.18 23.9%	4.00 25.0%	3.85 26.0%	3.90 25.6%	4.10 24.4%
	5.40 18.5%	6.14 16.3%	5.50 18.2%	5.40 18.5%	5.50 18.2%	5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.95 51.3%	1.99 50.3%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.24 80.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.03 97.1%
1x	1.11 90.1%	1.14 87.7%	1.06 94.3%
x2	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	14.00 7.1%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	9.50 10.5%
0_1	12.00 8.3%
0_2	26.00 3.9%
0_3	61.00 1.6%
1_0	6.00 16.7%
1_1	6.50 15.4%
1_2	13.00 7.7%
1_3	41.00 2.4%
1_4	101.00 1.0%
2_0	6.50 15.4%
2_1	6.50 15.4%
2_2	13.00 7.7%
2_3	34.00 2.9%
2_4	101.00 1.0%
3_0	10.00 10.0%
3_1	10.00 10.0%
3_2	19.00 5.3%
3_3	51.00 2.0%

Match center

Spain

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Belgium

AO Amadu Onana pz

Match center

Spain

W W

05.07 17:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Spain 1:0 Portugal

02.07 17:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Spain 3:0 Austria

2 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

6 Points

Belgium

W W

05.07 22:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Belgium 4:1 USA

01.07 18:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Belgium 3:2 Senegal

2 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Spain - Belgium

Spain

0 matches total

Belgium

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Spain

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Belgium

5 Games 5

4 Wins 3

1 Draws 2

0 Losses 0

9 Scored 13

0 Conceded 5

13 Points 11

134 Attacks 121.6

77.6 Dangerous attacks 67.2

1 Big chances 4

17.2 Shots on goal 21.4

5.8 Shots on target 6.4

uprezhdeniya 0.8 0 Sendoffs 0.2 Goly Fabian Ruis 1:0 30' Sharl De Ketelare Timoti Kastan 1 41' Mikel Merino 2:1 88' Nakazaniya Pau Kubarsi 43' Kevin De Breyne 85' Emerik Laport 90+3' Aksel Vitsel 90+5'

Spain Belgium 5 Games 5 4 Wins 3 1 Draws 2 0 Losses 0 9 Scored 13 0 Conceded 5 13 Points 11 134 Attacks 121.6 77.6 Dangerous attacks 67.2 1 Big chances 4 17.2 Shots on goal 21.4 5.8 Udary v stvor 6.4 1 Shtangi/perekladiny 0.5 6.8 Uglovye 4.6 1.8 Offsaydy 1.4 9.6 Foly 12 65.2 % vladeniya myachom 54.8 0.6 Warnings 0.8 0 Sendoffs 0.2 Goly Fabian Ruis 1:0 30' Sharl De Ketelare Timoti Kastan 1 41' Mikel Merino 2:1 88' Nakazaniya Pau Kubarsi 43' Kevin De Breyne 85' Emerik Laport 90+3' Aksel Vitsel 90+5'

Spain vs Belgium — Football prediction

AI match prediction Spain - Belgium July 10, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Unlock the full AI analysis

Spain - Belgium

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions