AI verdict

AI pick Vaxjo Lakers win probability ~49% best odds 1.77

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Vaxjo Lakers. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup
Minsk Cup International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Minsk Cup

K-Espoo vs Vaxjo Lakers — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
K-Espoo
K-Espoo
1 : 3
Finished
Vaxjo Lakers
Vaxjo Lakers

K-Espoo go head-to-head with Vaxjo Lakers on August 27, 2026 in the Minsk Cup, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Vaxjo Lakers49%

1 · K-Espoo32.3%
2 · Vaxjo Lakers48.8%

Model estimate: win K-Espoo 32.3%, win Vaxjo Lakers 48.8%. Model favourite — Vaxjo Lakers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction K-Espoo - Vaxjo Lakers August 27, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vaxjo Lakers.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vaxjo Lakers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.35 / X 4.40 / 2 1.77
  • Glicko: K-Espoo 32.3% / X 18.9% / Vaxjo Lakers 48.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5% 3 books · best price +6.9%
1 30.7%
X 20.5%
2 48.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.85 ↑ 3.35
1X2 X 4.05 ↑ 4.40
1X2 2 2.00 ↓ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
K-Espoo
31%
3.35
Draw
21%
4.50
Vaxjo Lakers
49%
2.02
Total
Over 5.5
45%
2.05
Under 5.5
55%
1.68

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

K-Espoo
7-3WWWLLWWLWW
scored 3.3conceded 1.8
Vaxjo Lakers

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 27.4% @ 3.35 / X 20.8% @ 4.40 / 2 51.8% @ 1.77
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Vaxjo Lakers 49%
💹 Market Vaxjo Lakers 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

K-Espoo - Vaxjo Lakers

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/2 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 48.8% fact: away hit / ROI 102.0% / Brier 0.403 / LogLoss 0.718
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 37.7% fact: away hit / ROI 102.0% / Brier 0.584 / LogLoss 0.977
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
K-Espoo 30.7% 32.3%
Draw 20.5% 18.9%
Vaxjo Lakers 48.8% 48.8% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 32.3% / 18.9% / 48.8% probabilities
Rating 1,684 / 1,583 K-Espoo / Vaxjo Lakers
RD 228 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,229-2,139 / 1,069-2,097 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 48.8%
X 4.40 Fonbet · no value · model 18.9%
1 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 32.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.19 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.43 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.27 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.72 58.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.35 74.1%
1.30 76.9%
4.10 24.4%
4.50 22.2%
2.65 37.7%
2.00 50.0%
2.30 43.5%
2.90 34.5%
3.25 30.8%
1.19 84.0%
1.17 85.5%
1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 4 1.27 78.7%
Over 4.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 5 1.70 58.8%
Over 5.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 6 2.55 39.2%
Over 6.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 7 4.10 24.4%
Over 7.5 4.60 21.7%
Under 3.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 4 3.40 29.4%
Under 4.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 5 2.02 49.5%
Under 5.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 6 1.45 69.0%
Under 6.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 7 1.19 84.0%
Under 7.5 1.16 86.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
3.35 29.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2%
1.77 56.5% 1.89 52.9% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
K-Espoo
W W W
21.08 15:30 UTC+0 Finland. Friendlies
K-Espoo 3:2 PelikansPelikans
19.08 16:00 UTC+0 Finland. Friendlies
K-Espoo 4:3 Lincheping
14.08 14:30 UTC+0 Finland. Friendlies
K-Espoo 2:0 Tappara 🇫🇮Tappara 🇫🇮
3 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Vaxjo Lakers
D W
19.08 17:00 UTC+0 Sweden. Friendlies
Vaxjo Lakers 2:2 RegleRegle
14.08 16:00 UTC+0 Sweden. Friendlies
Vaxjo Lakers 2:1 Malme
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: K-Espoo - Vaxjo Lakers

K-Espoo
0 matches total
Vaxjo Lakers
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in K-Espoo vs Vaxjo Lakers?

By the PropickAI model, Vaxjo Lakers is favoured — about 49% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for K-Espoo vs Vaxjo Lakers?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Vaxjo Lakers. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for K-Espoo vs Vaxjo Lakers?

Live odds for K-Espoo vs Vaxjo Lakers from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does K-Espoo vs Vaxjo Lakers start?

August 27, 2026.