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AI verdict

AI pick Chwalinska M win probability ~60% confidence High best odds 5.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Chwalinska M. Full breakdown below.

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WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey International
2nd round 27.08.2026 01:45 UTC Match prediction

Chwalinska M vs Parks A — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey 2nd round hard 27.08.2026 01:45 UTC Finished
27.08.2026 01:45 UTC 2nd round Finished
Chwalinska M
Chwalinska M Poland
Rank #89 Elo 846
49Struggling Form
W L L W L L W W
Parks A
Parks A USA
Rank #21 Elo 2037
72Good Form
W L L W W L W L
1:2 6:3 2:6 2:6
1 2 3 GP
Chwalinska M 6 2 2 1
Parks A 3 6 6 2
1 2 3
Stadium: Sonoma Klab. Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

Poland Country USA
#89 Rating #21
24 Age 25
164 Height (cm) 185
- Weight (kg) 52kg
Right Hand Left
21 Seed 89
hard Coverage hard
C 0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Chwalinska M Parks A
Aces per match 6.11 0.58
Double faults per match 5.83 1.78
Breaks per match 3.98 4.97

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Chwalinska M
74% 14 / 19
74% 14 / 19
Sintetika
no data
clay
11 iz 12
grass
0 iz 1
hard
3 iz 6
Parks A
46% 22 / 48
46% 22 / 48
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 11
grass
1 iz 2
hard
16 iz 35

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Alycia Parks
Rank:89 Elo: 846
W L L W L L W W
Maja Chwalinska
Rank:21 Elo: 2037
W L L W W L W L
Elo favourite:Chwalinska M (edge +1191 Elo)

Hard

Alycia ParksMaja Chwalinska
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 13 / 26 Matches 62.5% 10 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 42.9% 18 / 42 Matches 61.1% 11 / 18 Matches
Aces Per Match 6.73 0.81
Most Aces in a match 88 % 6 %

Clay

Alycia ParksMaja Chwalinska
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 56.3% 9 / 16 Matches 81.0% 17 / 21 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 56.3% 9 / 16 Matches 77.5% 31 / 40 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.50 0.32
Most Aces in a match 81 % 11 %

Grass

Alycia ParksMaja Chwalinska
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 20.0% 1 / 5 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 20.0% 1 / 5 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Aces Per Match 8.00 2.00
Most Aces in a match 100 % 0 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 48.9% 23 / 47 Matches 71.8% 28 / 39 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 45.3% 29 / 64 Matches 71.7% 43 / 60 Matches
Current rank 89 21

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska
Prize money (career) $1,773,954 USD $359,412 USD
Rating 89 21
Age 25 24
Height 1.85m 1.64m
Weight — 52kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska
Match Wins 49 % 72 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 49 % 71 %
Wins in Straight Sets 34 % 59 %
Wins From Behind 23 % 15 %
Won At Least 1 Set 72 % 85 %
Set 1 Win 49 % 77 %
Set 2 Win 57 % 67 %
Set 3 Win 39 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

Monterrey

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.79 9.03 9.41
Over 6.5 98 % 87 % 93 %
Over 7.5 89 % 68 % 79 %
Over 8.5 70 % 47 % 59 %
Over 9.5 55 % 32 % 44 %
Over 10.5 26 % 21 % 24 %
Over 11.5 26 % 21 % 24 %

Aces

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska Match total
Aces Per Match 6.11 0.58 6.69
Most Aces in a match 87 % 8 % N/A
1+ 100 % 33 % 86 %
2+ 100 % 17 % 71 %
3+ 96 % 6 % 66 %
4+ 77 % 3 % 58 %
5+ 55 % 0 % 46 %

Breaks

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.98 4.97 8.95
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 94 % 100 %
Over 2.5 68 % 94 % 99 %
Over 3.5 64 % 94 % 99 %
Over 4.5 4 % 92 % 99 %
Over 5.5 0 % 86 % 94 %

Tie-breaks

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.26 0.24 0.25
Over 0.5 26 % 21 % 23 %
Over 1.5 0 % 3 % 1 %
Under 0.5 74 % 79 % 23 %
Under 1.5 100 % 97 % 1 %

Double faults

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska Match total
Double Faults Per Match 5.83 1.78 7.61
Over 0.5 (1+) 98 % 78 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 94 % 47 % 91 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 85 % 22 % 85 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 74 % 11 % 80 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 53 % 8 % 71 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 47 % 6 % 62 %

Net points

Alycia Parks Maja Chwalinska Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.67 13.92 20.59
Over 4.5 (5+) 83 % 83 % 83 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 83 % 83 % 83 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 83 % 67 % 75 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 50 % 58 % 54 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 50 % 50 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 50 % 50 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.59 61.6% BetBoom
P2 2.54 38.4% BetBoom

Chwalinska M take on Parks A on August 27, 2026 in the WTA. Monterrey, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chwalinska M 1-0-4, Parks A 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chwalinska M — 60%

1 · Chwalinska M ✓ Pick60.1%
market 60%
2 · Parks A39.9%
market 40%

Model estimate: win Chwalinska M 60.1%, win Parks A 39.9%. Model favourite — Chwalinska M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — Parks A

Model confidence 82% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chwalinska M - Parks A August 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parks A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Parks A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.10 / 2 1.15
  • Glicko: Chwalinska M 60.1% / Parks A 39.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 5 books · best price +224.8%
1 ✓ Pick 60.5%
2 39.6%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.45 ↑ 1.52
Winner 2 2.80 ↓ 2.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Chwalinska M
61%
5.10
Parks A
39%
2.54
Total
Over 7.5
50%
1.87
Under 7.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Joint, Maya2
Hinojosa Gomez, Jessica0
Rodriguez, Victoria0
Putintseva, Yulia2
Bondar, Anna2
Jacquemot, Elsa0
Liang, En-Shuo2
Kraus, Sinja1
Udvardy, Panna2
Arango, Emiliana1
Werner, Caroline0
Vidmanova, Darja2
Tararudee, Lanlana1
Timofeeva, Maria2
Jeanjean, Leolia1
Rakhimova, Kamilla2
Qualification Final
Joint, Maya2
Putintseva, Yulia1
Bondar, Anna2
Liang, En-Shuo1
Udvardy, Panna1
Vidmanova, Darja2
Timofeeva, Maria2
Rakhimova, Kamilla1

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Sonoma Klab.
Start 27.08.2026 01:45 UTC
Market 1 18.4% @ 5.10 / 2 81.6% @ 1.15
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Chwalinska M 60%
💹 Market Chwalinska M 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Chwalinska M - Parks A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Mayya Khvalinska - Alisiya Parks. Monterrey. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Chwalinska M Parks A Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Set 3 2 6 2:6
Metric Chwalinska M Parks A SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 2/3 2/2 final
Points na prieme 30% (11/37) 41% (22/54) final
Eysy 4 1 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/2 1/3 final
Dvoynye oshibki 6 1 final
Pervaya podacha, % 46% 68% final
Points na pervoy podache 83% (20/24) 72% (18/25) final
Points na vtoroy podache 50% (14/28) 67% (8/12) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 60.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.722 / LogLoss 0.918
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.525 / LogLoss 0.718
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chwalinska M 60.5% 61.1% market and model agree
Parks A 39.6% 38.9% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko60.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.56).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.1% / 39.9% probabilities
Rating 1,579 / 1,452 Chwalinska M / Parks A
RD 247 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,084-2,073 / 1,039-1,864 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 39.9%
1 5.10 Fonbet · weak value +206.4% · model 60.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.60 38.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.97 50.8%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%
1.63 61.4%
2.70 37.0%
1.22 82.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.65 60.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.35 74.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5%
1.02 98.0%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 18.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 19.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 20.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 22.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 23.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 24.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 25.5 14.00 7.1%
Over 26.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 27.5 4.40 22.7%
Over 28.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 18.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 19.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 20.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 21.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 22.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 23.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 24.5 1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 2.5 10.50 9.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-27 · Mayya Khvalinska 1:2 Alisiya Parks
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.55 (Pari) · 2 2.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.55 2.4
Winline 1.54 2.47
Fonbet 1.55 2.4
Betcity 1.53 2.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Eysy 10
3 Dvoynye oshibki 7
2 Vsego breyk-poyntov 6
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
68 Vyigrannye Points 73
38 Points na podache 50
23 Poteryannye Points na podache 30
41 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 37
16 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 37
27 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 27
11 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 23
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 11
8 Geymy na podache 11
10 Vyigrannye geymy 15
2 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Chwalinska M
L W L L L
2026-08-17 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Chwalinska M Shnaider D 2:0 Chwalinska M
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Chwalinska M Bucsa C 0:2 Chwalinska M
2026-08-04 2026 Toronto, Canada
Chwalinska M Chwalinska M 0:2 Gibson T
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Chwalinska M Sawangkaew M 2:1 Chwalinska M
2026-06-06 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Chwalinska M Chwalinska M 0:2 Andreeva M
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Parks A
W L L W L
2026-08-24 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Parks A 2:1 Marcinko P Parks A
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Parks A 0:2 Golubic V Parks A
2026-08-06 2026 Toronto, Canada
Parks A 1:2 Eala A Parks A
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Jimenez Kasintseva V 0:2 Parks A Parks A
2026-07-20 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Parks A 0:2 Havlickova L Parks A
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Match facts

Round: 26 Stadium: Estadio

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chwalinska M vs Parks A?

By the PropickAI model, Parks A is favoured — about 60% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Chwalinska M vs Parks A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Parks A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Chwalinska M vs Parks A?

Live odds for Chwalinska M vs Parks A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Chwalinska M vs Parks A start?

August 27, 2026.