WNBA. Outrights
Phoenix Mercury (w) - Connecticut
Phoenix Mercury (w) go head-to-head with Connecticut on July 18, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.
Recent form (W-D-L): Phoenix Mercury (w) 1-0-4, Connecticut 2-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Finiks Merkyuri (Zh): forma PPPPV (1-4)
- • Konnektikut San (Zh): forma VPPVP (2-3)
- • Model backs Konnektikut San (Zh): probability 58% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Connecticut July 18, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / 2 2.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Phoenix Mercury (w) - Connecticut
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | 1.86 53.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 162.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 163 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 163.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 164.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 162.5 | 1.93 51.8% | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| Under 163 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 163.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 164.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.56 64.1% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| 2.43 41.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.48 40.3% |
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Minnesota Links (Zh)
Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
Chikago Skay (Zh)
Siettl Storm (Zh)
Connecticut
Portlend (Zh)
Minnesota Links (Zh)
Minnesota Links (Zh)
Dallas Vings (Zh)
Full head-to-head history: Phoenix Mercury (w) - Connecticut
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Phoenix Mercury (w) - Connecticut breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Connecticut start?
July 18, 2026.