WNBA. Outrights
Phoenix Mercury (w) - NY Liberty
Phoenix Mercury (w) face NY Liberty on August 1, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.
Recent form (W-D-L): Phoenix Mercury (w) 2-0-3, NY Liberty 3-0-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Finiks Merkyuri (Zh): forma VVPPP (2-3)
- • Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): forma VVVPP (3-2)
- • ochnye 0-2 (za 2)
- • Model backs Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): probability 59% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - NY Liberty August 1, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / 2 1.68
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Phoenix Mercury (w) - NY Liberty
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 175.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 176 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 176.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.94 51.6% | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Over 179.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 175.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 176.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 177.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 179.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.68 59.5% |
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
Konnektikut San (Zh)
Konnektikut San (Zh)
Minnesota Links (Zh)
NY Liberty
Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
Chikago Skay (Zh)
Dallas Vings (Zh)
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyPhoenix Mercury (w) - NY Liberty
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Phoenix Mercury (w) - NY Liberty breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Phoenix Mercury (w) vs NY Liberty start?
August 1, 2026.