FreeMatch preview

Toronto (w) — Las Vegas Aces

Basketball 20.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Favourite Las Vegas Aces best odds 1.20

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Toronto (w) - Las Vegas Aces

Basketball
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
83 : 109
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces

Toronto (w) take on Las Vegas Aces on July 20, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Toronto (w) 1-0-4, Las Vegas Aces 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Las Vegas Aces (odds1.78) Score 79:81 confidence 56% ✓ outcome correct
  • Toronto Tempo (Zh): forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • Las Vegas Eyses (Zh): forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • Model backs Las Vegas Eyses (Zh): probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Las Vegas Aces July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 5.00 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1% 3 books
1 20.2%
2 79.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Toronto (w)
#6GP 3310-23
Las Vegas Aces
#3GP 3624-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Toronto (w)
0-10LLLLLLLLLL
points for 82.8points against 98.9
Las Vegas Aces
6-4WWLWWLLWWL
points for 89.4points against 89.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:09 UTC
1 18%
2 82% ✓ favourite
Score76:88 Total points: Under 170.5 Bet:Handicap 2 (-9.5)
Per AI data Form:L L W L L / W W W L W
Kimi updated20.07.2026 19:50 UTC
1 12%
2 88% ✓ favourite
Score78:96 Total points: Over 181.5 Bet:2 (Las Vegas Aces) -11.5
Per AI data Form:L 76-89 vs DAL, L 75-83 vs GSV, L 95-108 vs DAL, W 93-91 vs NYL, L 62-79 vs WAS, L 92-111 vs ATL / W 98-90 vs CHI, L 68-84 vs IND, W 88-80 @ POR, W 106-58 vs PHX, L 75-109 vs IND
GLM 5.2 updated20.07.2026 19:51 UTC
1 20%
2 80% ✓ favourite
Score98:92 Total points: Over 180.5 Bet:2 with handicap -5.5
Per AI data Form:1-4 / 3-2 H2H: 98:92 (Aces)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 18% 82% 76:88 Under 170.5 Handicap 2 (-9.5)
Kimi 12% 88% 78:96 Over 181.5
GLM 5.2 20% 80% 98:92 Over 180.5

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 19.4% @ 5.00 / 2 80.6% @ 1.20
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Toronto (w) - Las Vegas Aces

Form 4/5 recent games
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 83:109
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 78.1% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.096 / LogLoss 0.247
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 61.3% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.490
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 61.3% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.490
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 61.3% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.490
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 market consensus · line only
1 4.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 179.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Over 180.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 179.5 1.86 53.8%
Over 180.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%
Over 181.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 182.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 179.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 180.5 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1%
Under 181.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 182.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 183.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 184.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
4.60 21.7% 4.70 21.3% 5.00 20.0%
1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Toronto (w)
L L W L
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 92:111 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
14.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 62:79 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
12.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:91 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
10.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 95:108 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
1 Wins
3 Losses
85.5 Scored
97.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Las Vegas Aces
L W W L W
12.07 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
11.07 20:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 106:58 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
10.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 88:80 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
05.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 68:84 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
04.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 98:90 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
87.0 Scored
84.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Toronto (w) vs Las Vegas Aces start?

July 20, 2026.