Who is the favourite in Vejle vs Esbjerg?

By the PropickAI model, draw is favoured — about 61% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Vejle vs Esbjerg?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to draw. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Vejle win probability ~61% confidence High best odds 8.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Vejle. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.

Get Full Access →

Denmark: First Division

21.08.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

21.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

Denmark: First Division

Vejle - Esbjerg

Football

Stadium Vayle

Referee N. Lindby

Capacity 10 418

Vejle

1 : 1

Finished

Esbjerg

Vejle meet Esbjerg on August 21, 2026 in the Denmark: First Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Vejle 4-1-0, Esbjerg 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Vejle — 61%

1 · Vejle ✓ Pick60.7%

market 61%

X · draw20.9%

market 21%

2 · Esbjerg18.4%

market 18%

Model estimate: win Vejle 60.7%, draw 20.9%, win Esbjerg 18.4%. Model favourite — Vejle.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vejle - Esbjerg August 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / X 1.12 / 2 13.00
Glicko: Vejle 60.7% / X 20.9% / Esbjerg 18.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7% 5 books · best price +466.7%

1 ✓ Pick 60.8%

X 21.4%

2 17.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division

League table

Vejle

#113 ptsGP 54-1-016:10

Esbjerg

#94 ptsGP 51-1-38:11

Best price across 14 books

1 1.57 10Bet

X 5.10 Pinnacle

2 6.00 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Vejle

W-D-L 7-3-0 Scored 2.81 Conceded 1.84 xG 1.81 xGA 1.11

Esbjerg

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.59 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.43 xGA 1.43

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Vejle

Rating 1682

Esbjerg

Rating 1524

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Vejle

62%

8.50

Draw

21%

4.70

Esbjerg

18%

13.00

Total

Over 9.5

52%

1.73

Under 9.5

48%

1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

51%

2.55

49%

2.36

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vejle 2 : 1 Esbjerg

11.49

X4.70

25.28

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated19.08.2026 02:11 UTC

1 58% ✓ favourite

X 22%

2 20%

Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X and Over 2.5

Per AI data Form:WWWD / LLWWD H2H: 0-1 Injuries:Lundrim Hetemi injured Key:Vejle leads the division with superior offensive consistency against Esbjerg shaky defense

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	58%	22%	20%	2:1	Over 2.5	Yes	1X and Over 2.5

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →

Participant opinions

8 predictions Choose an outcome

1 87% 7

X 12% 1

2 0% 0

Match center

Stadium Vayle

Referee N. Lindby

Start 21.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Market 1 10.8% @ 8.50 / X 82.1% @ 1.12 / 2 7.1% @ 13.00

Weather +20°C cloudy Season 1-y Division 2026/2027 Vayle

Capacity 10,418

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Vejle 87%

🤖 7 AI models Vejle 58%

📐 Math model Vejle 61%

💹 Market Vejle 61%

✅ Humans and AI agree

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

🏦 Virtual bank $10,000

$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Stake ($)

My virtual bank & leaderboard →

Match center

Vejle - Esbjerg

Vejle: win 1.60 Vejle: draw 4.00 Esbjerg win: 5.00 Obschiy Total goals Over 3.5: 2.10 Obschiy Total goals Under 3.5: 1.67 Individualnyy Total goals Vejle Over 2.5: 2.50 Individualnyy Total goals Vejle Under 2.5: 1.50 Individualnyy Total goals Esbjerg Over 1.5: 2.75…

Lineups 5/2 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.027 / LogLoss 1.564

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.027 / LogLoss 1.564

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Vejle 61.3% 60.7% market and model agree

Draw 20.9% 20.9% draw risk

Esbjerg 17.9% 18.4%

xG - 2.15 : 1.10

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 60.7% / 20.9% / 18.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,789 / 1,644 Vejle / Esbjerg

RD 203 / 186 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,382-2,195 / 1,272-2,015 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.18 market consensus · no value · model 18.4%

X 1.12 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +415.9% · model 60.7%

Double chance

12 5.10 Fonbet · weak value +303.3% · model 79.1%

1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 81.6%

X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 39.3%

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.70 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	2.00 50.0%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.36 42.4%
yes	1.73 57.8%	2.55 39.2%	2.55 39.2%	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.14 87.7%	5.10 19.6%	1.27 78.7%	1.27 78.7%
1x	1.11 90.1%	1.02 98.0%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%
x2	2.43 41.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.76 56.8%	1.76 56.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.94 51.6%
X	2.62 38.2%
	4.89 20.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.02 49.5%
Under 1.5	1.65 60.6%

Match center

1 Nikolay Larsen 13 Stefan Velkov 10 Mikkel Duelund 18 Gustav Markussen 19 Vakhid Fagir 8 Mikail Maden 22 Bendzhamin Khvidt

Vejle

Probable starting lineup

1 NL Nikolay Larsen

Nikolay Larsen

13 SV Stefan Velkov

Stefan Velkov

10 MD Mikkel Duelund

Mikkel Duelund

18 GM Gustav Markussen

Gustav Markussen

19 VF Vakhid Fagir

Vakhid Fagir

Head coach C. Norgaard

Esbjerg

Probable starting lineup

8 MM Mikail Maden

Mikail Maden

22 BK Bendzhamin Khvidt

Bendzhamin Khvidt

Vejle

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Esbjerg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H

Match center

10 Matches 10

23 Goals 19

2.3 Per match 1.9

5 Wins 4

5 Draws 2

0 Losses 4

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-2-0, avg 6.0 gls

2026-08-21 · Vayle 4:2 Esberg

2026-06-27 · Vayle 3:3 Esberg

2025-06-29 · Vayle 3:3 Esberg

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.72 (Winline) · X 4.5 (Betcity) · 2 4.7 (Liga Stavok)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.62	4.3	4.15
Winline	1.72	3.7	4.2
Fonbet	1.62	4.3	4.15
Betcity	1.62	4.5	4.1
Liga Stavok	1.54	4.2	4.7

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Vejle

W W W W D

2026-08-14 1. Division 26/27

Vejle Kolding IF 2:3 Vejle

2026-08-09 1. Division 26/27

Vejle Vejle 5:4 Hillerod

2026-08-05 DBU Pokalen 26/27

Vejle Tarup-Paarup 0:3 Vejle

2026-07-31 1. Division 26/27

Vejle Koge 0:2 Vejle

2026-07-24 1. Division 26/27

Vejle Vejle 2:2 AB Gladsaxe

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

13 Points

Esbjerg

L L W W D

2026-08-15 1. Division 26/27

Esbjerg 1:2 Hobro Esbjerg

2026-08-09 1. Division 26/27

Hvidovre 2:1 Esbjerg Esbjerg

2026-08-06 DBU Pokalen 26/27

Bogense 0:6 Esbjerg Esbjerg

2026-08-01 1. Division 26/27

Hillerod 2:3 Esbjerg Esbjerg

2026-07-25 1. Division 26/27

Esbjerg 1:1 Kolding IF Esbjerg

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Vejle - Esbjerg

Vejle

1 matches total

Esbjerg

Vejle: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Esbjerg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 2026-06-27) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (2026-06-27) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

2026-06-27 Club Friendly Games 2026

Esbjerg 3:3 Vejle

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Vejle

Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Esbjerg

Matches in history 22

Biggest draw 3:3

Highest-scoring match 3:3

Tovarischeskiy (kluby) 9 / 2 / 4 / 3 / 15 / 14

Superliga 8 / 3 / 2 / 3 / 12 / 10

1-y Division 5 / 2 / 0 / 3 / 5 / 7

Vejle - Esbjerg

AI match prediction Vejle - Esbjerg August 21, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Score prediction

AI predictions

Unlock the full AI analysis