AI verdict

AI pick Debreceni EAC win probability ~51% best odds 7.90

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Debreceni EAC. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup
Minsk Cup International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Minsk Cup

Spisska Nova Ves vs Debreceni EAC — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Spisska Nova Ves
Spisska Nova Ves
9 : 3
Finished
Debreceni EAC
Debreceni EAC

Spisska Nova Ves face Debreceni EAC on August 25, 2026 in the Minsk Cup, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Debreceni EAC51%

1 · Spisska Nova Ves49.4%
2 · Debreceni EAC50.6%

Model estimate: win Spisska Nova Ves 49.4%, win Debreceni EAC 50.6%. Model favourite — Debreceni EAC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spisska Nova Ves - Debreceni EAC August 25, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spisska Nova Ves.

Line favourite Fonbet: Spisska Nova Ves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 6.00 / 2 7.90
  • Glicko: Spisska Nova Ves 49.4% / X - / Debreceni EAC 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 27.4%
1 77.0%
X 13.1%
2 9.9%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.20 ↑ 1.23
1X2 X 7.50 ↓ 6.20
1X2 2 7.72 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
3.0Goals on average2.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 5.0 (goals)

Team form

Spisska Nova Ves
5-5WLLWLLWLWW
scored 3.2conceded 2.9
Debreceni EAC
4-6LLWLWLWLWL
scored 3.2conceded 3.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 25.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 77.0% @ 1.02 / X 13.1% @ 6.00 / 2 9.9% @ 7.90
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Debreceni EAC 51%
💹 Market Spisska Nova Ves 77%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Spisska Nova Ves - Debreceni EAC

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/3 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 9:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.512 / LogLoss 0.706
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.697
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Spisska Nova Ves 74.5% 49.4% market favourite
Draw 14.8% -
Debreceni EAC 10.8% 50.6% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.4% / 50.6% probabilities
Rating 1,324 / 1,500 Spisska Nova Ves / Debreceni EAC
RD 236 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 852-1,796 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.90 Fonbet · weak value +299.9% · model 50.6%
X 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 49.4%
Total
Over 10.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.20 83.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.11 90.1%
3.30 30.3%
2.65 37.7%
2.40 41.7%
4.05 24.7%
1.65 60.6%
5.50 18.2%
1.28 78.1%
1.20 83.3%
1.15 87.0%
1.14 87.7%
1.12 89.3%
1.30 76.9%
1.15 87.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 4.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 5 1.30 76.9%
Over 5.5 1.10 90.9%
Over 6 1.65 60.6%
Over 6.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 7 2.35 42.6%
Over 7.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 8 3.60 27.8%
Over 8.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 9 5.00 20.0%
Over 9.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 10.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 11.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 12.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 13.5 4.50 22.2%
Over 14.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 15.5 3.45 29.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
X 6.00 16.7%
7.90 12.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0, avg 10.0 gls
2026-08-25 · Spishska Nova Ves 10:5 Debretseni EAK
2025-08-19 · Spishska Nova Ves 3:2 Debretseni EAK
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.2 (Fonbet) · X 7.5 (Fonbet) · 2 12 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.14 7.2 12
Fonbet 1.2 7.5 7.72
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Spisska Nova Ves
L
21.08 15:30 UTC Friendlies
Spisska Nova Ves 2:3 TykhyTykhy
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Debreceni EAC
L L W
21.08 15:30 UTC+0 Friendlies
Debreceni EAC 2:3 TykhyTykhy
18.08 15:30 UTC+0 Slovakia. Friendlies
Debreceni EAC 1:2 Dukla MikhalovtseDukla Mikhalovtse
14.08 15:30 UTC+0 Slovakia. Friendlies
Debreceni EAC 4:1 Preshov
1 Wins
2 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spisska Nova Ves vs Debreceni EAC?

By the PropickAI model, Spisska Nova Ves is favoured — about 51% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Spisska Nova Ves vs Debreceni EAC?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Spisska Nova Ves. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Spisska Nova Ves vs Debreceni EAC?

Live odds for Spisska Nova Ves vs Debreceni EAC from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Spisska Nova Ves vs Debreceni EAC start?

August 25, 2026.